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La Tasmania

5yo Filly · 9-0

Belmont Park · Race 9 - Allowance · 6f 110y

#6

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 1.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ San Isidro 04/04/2025 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 4f214y Fm 1214/04C8C5 @ San Isidro 27/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 5f212y Slo 12327/09C5C5 @ San Isidro 28/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 5f212y Fm 12328/12C5C0 @ San Isidro 23/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 5f212y Fm 12223/01C?projClass-projected finish: 1st of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-01-23San Isidro?1st1st0
2025-12-28San Isidro?1st1st0
2025-09-27San Isidro?3rd3rd0
2025-04-04San Isidro?1st5th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/0427/0928/1223/01
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1667% of fieldRange 1-15 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength55%

Delivery trend -11.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/04/20251st10/147%100%+0.53
27/09/20253rd9/488%75%-0.13
28/12/20251st13/891%100%+0.09
23/01/20261st13/891%100%+0.09