
One More Guitar
3yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 90
Belmont Park · Race 9 - Allowance · 6f 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Saratoga | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-03-15 | Fair Grounds | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-02-14 | Fair Grounds | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-09-18 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08/2025 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 28/08/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 56% | +0.40 |
| 18/09/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 14/02/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 75% | +0.28 |
| 15/03/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 09/05/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 29% | -0.45 |
| 03/07/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 38% | -0.23 |
| 01/08/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |