IvyArcIvyArc
6

Queen Juno

3yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 86

Belmont Park · Race 9 - Allowance · 6f 110y

#16

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#16

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength10%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.6
Today:
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Ellis Park 12/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 5f110y Fm 11912/07C6C6 @ Ellis Park 03/08/2025 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 84 · 6f 119 · below its mark03/08/2025 · OR 84 par3/08C6OR 84C6 @ Gulfstream 14/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 54 · 5f Fm 122 · beat its mark14/02/2026 · OR 54 par14/02C6OR 54C6 @ Woodbine 30/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 65 · 5f Fas 119 · beat its mark30/05/2026 · OR 65 par30/05C6OR 65C6 @ Woodbine 20/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 66 · 5f 120 · beat its mark20/06/2026 · OR 66 par20/06C6OR 66C5 @ Saratoga 01/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 78 · 5f110y Fm 122 · beat its mark01/08/2026 · OR 78 par1/08C5OR 78C5 @ Saratoga 15/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 86 · 5f110y Yie 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark15/08/2026 · OR 86 par15/08C5OR 86projClass-projected finish: 8th of 15
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-15Saratoga?6th5th+1
2026-08-01Saratoga?2nd2nd0
2026-06-20Woodbine?1st2nd−1
2026-05-30Woodbine?4th5th−1
2026-02-14Gulfstream?7th8th−1
2025-08-03Ellis Park?9th10th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/0730/0515/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1633% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +15.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/07/20252nd11/486%88%+0.02
03/08/20259th10/382%20%-0.62
14/02/20267th10/147%33%-0.14
30/05/20264th5/174%50%-0.24
20/06/20261st5/174%100%+0.26
01/08/20262nd50/10%89%+0.89
15/08/20266th33/10%29%+0.29