IvyArcIvyArc
7

Ratu Jawa

4yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 86

Belmont Park · Race 9 - Allowance · 6f 110y

#15

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#15

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength6%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Saratoga 05/06/2025 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 84 · 1m110y Fm 118 · below its mark05/06/2025 · OR 84 par5/06C6OR 84C6 @ Saratoga 05/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 75 · 6f110y Fas 119 · below its mark05/07/2025 · OR 75 parC6 @ Saratoga 13/07/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 80 · 1m Fas 118 · below its mark13/07/2025 · OR 80 par13/07C6OR 80C6 @ Gulfstream 09/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 71 · 5f110y Fas 126 · beat its mark09/04/2026 · OR 71 parC6 @ Gulfstream 10/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 73 · 5f Fm 126 · below its mark10/05/2026 · OR 73 par10/05C6OR 73C5 @ Saratoga 05/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 77 · 5f110y Fm 126 · beat its mark05/06/2026 · OR 77 parC5 @ Saratoga 03/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 81 · 5f110y Fm 126 · beat its mark03/07/2026 · OR 81 par3/07C5OR 81C6 @ Saratoga 21/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 85 · 5f110y Fm 126 · below its mark21/08/2026 · OR 85 parC5 @ Saratoga 03/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 88 · 5f110y Gd 126 · below its mark03/09/2026 · OR 88 par3/09C5OR 88projClass-projected finish: 10th of 15
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Saratoga?5th5th0
2026-08-21Saratoga?2nd3rd−1
2026-07-03Saratoga?4th4th0
2026-06-05Saratoga?5th5th0
2026-05-10Gulfstream?4th5th−1
2026-04-09Gulfstream?1st2nd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/069/043/073/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 1613% of fieldRange 1-16 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength55%

Delivery trend +2.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 14th of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/06/20257th20/10%14%+0.14
05/07/20255th50/10%43%+0.43
13/07/20258th7/163%0%-0.63
09/04/20261st13/266%100%+0.34
10/05/20264th10/147%57%+0.10
05/06/20265th40/10%50%+0.50
03/07/20264th16/116%63%+0.47
21/08/20262nd16/116%80%+0.64
03/09/20265th9/153%33%-0.19