8
Some Ride
3yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 81
Belmont Park · Race 9 - Allowance · 6f 110y
#11
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 2.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-19 | Aqueduct | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-03-21 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-02-04 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-12-26 | Aqueduct | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1627% of fieldRange 1-16 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength50%
Delivery trend +0.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/12/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 60% | -0.08 |
| 04/02/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 21/03/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 19/04/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 60% | +0.07 |