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5

Vajra

3yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 83

Belmont Park · Race 9 - Allowance · 6f 110y

#7

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 3.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Churchill Downs 27/06/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 6f Gd 11927/06C6C6 @ Saratoga 26/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 78 · 6f Fas 119 · below its mark26/07/2025 · OR 78 par26/07C6OR 78C6 @ Saratoga 28/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 73 · 5f110y Fm 119 · beat its mark28/08/2025 · OR 73 par28/08C6OR 73C6 @ Ellis Park 31/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 75 · 5f110y Fm 119 · beat its mark31/07/2026 · OR 75 par31/07C6OR 75C6 @ Saratoga 26/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 76 · 5f110y 122 · beat its mark26/08/2026 · OR 76 par26/08C6OR 76projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 15
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-26Saratoga?1st2nd−1
2026-07-31Ellis Park?3rd4th−1
2025-08-28Saratoga?2nd3rd−1
2025-07-26Saratoga?5th6th−1
2025-06-27Churchill Downs?5th6th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0626/0728/0831/0726/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1647% of fieldRange 6-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength45%

Delivery trend +13.8% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/06/20255th5/287%43%-0.44
26/07/20255th5/493%50%-0.43
28/08/20252nd3/184%89%+0.05
31/07/20263rd13/891%82%-0.10
26/08/20261st6/492%100%+0.08