Cedar Runs Fiber
5yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 61
Charles Town · Race 2 - Claiming · 6f 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 4.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Charles Town | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Charles Town | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-07-30 | Charles Town | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-07-25 | Charles Town | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Charles Town | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Charles Town | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/02/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 06/03/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 43% | -0.20 |
| 19/04/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 86% | +0.59 |
| 08/05/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 15/05/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 17% | -0.20 |
| 25/07/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 30/07/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 13/08/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 20/09/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |