3
Clovis Desbrousses
3yo Gelding · 10-7
Dax · Prix De L'adour Hurdle · 2m 1f 87y
#2
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
13%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲4
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 11.3 /10 (raw 7.7)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C6.6
Today: 3
Class gap: -3.6
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-10 | Dieppe | ? | −5 | ||
| 2026-05-28 | Compiegne | ? | −5 | ||
| 2026-05-02 | Auteuil | ? | 8th | 13th | −5 |
| 2026-04-21 | Compiegne | 3 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-01 | Compiegne | ? | 6th | 11th | −5 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 7-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength26%
Delivery trend -0.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/04/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 29% | +0.23 |
| 21/04/2026 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 02/05/2026 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |