11
Flintilie
4yo Filly · 9-1
Dax · Prix De La Chambre D'amour Stakes · 1m 3f 95y
#4
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Tarbes | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-23 | Mont De Marsan | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-01 | Toulouse | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-09-24 | Toulouse | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-08-24 | Mont De Marsan | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1350% of fieldRange 6-13 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength21%
Delivery trend -1.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/05/2025 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 25% | -0.36 |
| 05/06/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 40% | -0.13 |
| 31/07/2025 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 24/08/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 24/09/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 01/03/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 83% | +0.15 |
| 23/03/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 33% | -0.40 |
| 17/04/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 13% | +0.07 |
| 10/08/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 33% | -0.46 |