1
Jafar D'escar
7yo Gelding · 10-1
Dax · Prix De La Chambre D'amour Stakes · 1m 3f 95y
#5
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Craon | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Mont De Marsan | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Toulouse | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Tarbes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-16 | Toulouse | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1333% of fieldRange 7-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength19%
Delivery trend -0.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 56% | +0.40 |
| 07/09/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 04/11/2025 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 16/11/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 17/04/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 63% | +0.05 |
| 27/05/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 29% | -0.19 |
| 01/07/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 23/07/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 06/09/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |