1
Kastle De Lagarde
6yo Gelding · 11-0
Dax · Prix Chateau De Poyanne Hurdle · 2m 2f 195y
#10
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼3
Strength5%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 3
Class gap: +3.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-19 | Dax | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-04-24 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-03-19 | Toulouse | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-03-02 | Mont De Marsan | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-01-31 | Pau | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-01-23 | Pau | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1120% of fieldRange 2-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength33%
Delivery trend +1.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/12/2024 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 02/03/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 19/03/2025 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 19/05/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |