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9

Lupin D'oc

5yo Gelding · 10-5

Dax · Prix Chateau De Poyanne Hurdle · 2m 2f 195y

#3

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Mont De Marsan 25/08/2024 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 1m2f151y Gd 12125/08C5C5 @ Tarbes 23/09/2024 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR - · 1m2f96y GS 12123/09C5C0 @ La Teste De Buch 27/06/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 2m3f85y GS 14127/06C?C5 @ La Teste De Buch 11/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 12111/08C5C5 @ Mont De Marsan 24/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 1m4f39y Sft 12124/08C5projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-08-24Mont De Marsan?3rd5th−2
2025-08-11La Teste De Buch?4th6th−2
2025-06-27La Teste De Buch?3rd3rd0
2025-05-19Dax?0
2024-09-23Tarbes?10th12th−2
2024-08-25Mont De Marsan?6th8th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/0823/0927/0611/0824/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength73%

Delivery trend -3.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/08/20246th16/116%64%+0.48
23/09/202410th20/10%0%0.00
27/06/20253rd50/10%67%+0.67
11/08/20254th25/10%70%+0.70
24/08/20253rd4/179%75%-0.04