2

Minnie De Vergne

6yo Mare · 10-12

Dax · Prix Chateau De Poyanne Hurdle · 2m 2f 195y

#8

Rank

Odds

18/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 8.9 /10 (raw 7.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ La Teste De Buch 25/08/2023 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 1m2f205y GS 12725/08C5C0 @ La Teste De Buch 28/06/2024 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 12728/06C?C5 @ La Teste De Buch 11/08/2025 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 12711/08C5C5 @ Mont De Marsan 24/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 1m4f39y Sft 12924/08C5C0 @ Pau 20/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 2m3f85y GF 14720/12C?projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-01-09Pau?0
2025-12-20Pau?5th5th0
2025-08-24Mont De Marsan?6th8th−2
2025-08-11La Teste De Buch?8th10th−2
2024-06-28La Teste De Buch?11th11th0
2023-08-25La Teste De Buch?9th11th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/0828/0611/0824/0820/12
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1130% of fieldRange 7-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength34%

Delivery trend +3.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/08/20239th25/10%11%+0.11
28/06/202411th50/10%23%+0.23
11/08/20258th16/116%30%+0.14
24/08/20256th16/116%38%+0.22
20/12/20255th16/116%43%+0.27