2

Minnie De Vergne
6yo Mare · 10-12
Dax · Prix Chateau De Poyanne Hurdle · 2m 2f 195y
#8
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 8.9 /10 (raw 7.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-09 | Pau | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-12-20 | Pau | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-08-24 | Mont De Marsan | ? | 6th | 8th | −2 |
| 2025-08-11 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 8th | 10th | −2 |
| 2024-06-28 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2023-08-25 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 9th | 11th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1130% of fieldRange 7-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength34%
Delivery trend +3.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08/2023 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 28/06/2024 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 11/08/2025 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 30% | +0.14 |
| 24/08/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 38% | +0.22 |
| 20/12/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 43% | +0.27 |