3
Nevis De Candale
6yo Gelding · 10-10
Dax · Prix Chateau De Poyanne Hurdle · 2m 2f 195y
#5
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 3
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-12 | Mont De Marsan | 3 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-01 | Toulouse | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-09 | Pau | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-10-14 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1160% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength67%
Delivery trend +2.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 01/03/2026 | 3rd | 50/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 12/03/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |