4
Agador
7yo Horse · 8-11
Dax · Grand Prix De La Ville De Dax Stakes · 1m 3f 95y
#2
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
11%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 1
Class gap: -2.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-24 | La Teste De Buch | 2 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2025-11-13 | Pau | ? | 3rd | 7th | −4 |
| 2025-10-22 | Pau | ? | 3rd | 7th | −4 |
| 2025-07-31 | Dax | ? | 2nd | 6th | −4 |
| 2025-06-22 | Toulouse | ? | 4th | 8th | −4 |
| 2025-03-22 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 12th | 12th | +0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength87%
Delivery trend +9.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/05/2024 | 7th | 9/4 | 88% | 14% | -0.74 |
| 03/08/2024 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 23/01/2025 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 22/03/2025 | 12th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 22/06/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 57% | +0.41 |
| 31/07/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 22/10/2025 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 71% | +0.14 |
| 13/11/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |
| 24/09/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |