Chergui
6yo Gelding · 9-1
Dax · Grand Prix De La Ville De Dax Stakes · 1m 3f 95y
#3
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
11%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 4.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-14 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 3rd | 7th | −4 |
| 2026-02-20 | Pau | 3 | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-01-18 | Pau | 3 | 9th | 11th | −2 |
| 2025-11-01 | Nantes | ? | 4th | 4th | +0 |
| 2025-09-17 | Toulouse | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-07-31 | Dax | ? | 5th | 9th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +8.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/06/2025 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 29/06/2025 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 70% | -0.14 |
| 17/07/2025 | 12th | 12/1 | 37% | 27% | -0.10 |
| 31/07/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 20% | -0.27 |
| 17/09/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 01/11/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 18/01/2026 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 33% | +0.28 |
| 20/02/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 85% | +0.85 |
| 14/07/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 67% | +0.04 |