7
If Not Now
6yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 93
Dax · Grand Prix De La Ville De Dax Stakes · 1m 3f 95y
#4
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲1
Strength11%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Class-adjusted form 9.1 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.2
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-08 | Toulouse | 2 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2024-09-29 | Epsom Downs | 3 | 8th | 10th | −2 |
| 2024-09-07 | Haydock | 2 | 11th | 12th | −1 |
| 2024-06-01 | Epsom Downs | 2 | 11th | 12th | −1 |
| 2024-05-11 | Lingfield | 2 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2023-09-14 | Doncaster | 2 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength61%
Delivery trend -1.9% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09/2022 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 29/04/2023 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 67% | -0.23 |
| 16/05/2023 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 14/09/2023 | 8th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 11/05/2024 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 60% | -0.14 |
| 01/06/2024 | 11th | 14/1 | 26% | 23% | -0.03 |
| 07/09/2024 | 11th | 22/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 29/09/2024 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 08/06/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 33% | -0.49 |