1
Elian
5yo Gelding · 11-10
Dax · Prix Joseph De Laurens Handicap Chase · 2m 2f 195y
#2
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Craon | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-06 | Toulouse | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-18 | Toulouse | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-12-16 | Pau | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-11-24 | Nantes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-02-24 | Toulouse | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength86%
Delivery trend +6.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/02/2025 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 55% | -0.24 |
| 24/11/2025 | 4th | 6/5 | 94% | 50% | -0.44 |
| 16/12/2025 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 18/03/2026 | 10th | 15/2 | 61% | 10% | -0.51 |
| 06/04/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 07/09/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 86% | -0.04 |