6
Jirais Au Balle
7yo Gelding · 10-11
Dax · Prix Joseph De Laurens Handicap Chase · 2m 2f 195y
#5
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Auteuil | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Vittel | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-04 | Fontainebleau | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-09-08 | Craon | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-08-10 | Le Lion D'angers | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-07-18 | Le Lion D'angers | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength89%
Delivery trend -1.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/02/2024 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 12/03/2024 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 18/11/2024 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 18/07/2025 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 10/08/2025 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 71% | +0.06 |
| 08/09/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 04/10/2025 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 83% | +0.23 |
| 19/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 89% | +0.42 |
| 17/09/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |