2
Medronho
2yo Colt · 8-13
Dax · Prix Des Trois Couronnes Stakes · 6f 211y
#3
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
13%
Place Prob
17%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength10%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.1
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Chantilly | ? | 3rd | 6th | −3 |
| 2026-09-02 | Toulouse | 2 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | La Teste De Buch | 2 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Vichy | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-07-01 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2026-04-07 | Deauville | ? | 9th | 12th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength88%
Delivery trend -2.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/04/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 01/07/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 22/07/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 10/08/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 83% | -0.04 |
| 02/09/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 20% | -0.41 |
| 14/09/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |