3

Rastagora
2yo Gelding · 8-13
Dax · Prix Des Trois Couronnes Stakes · 6f 211y
#1
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
59%
Place Prob
37%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.4
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | Deauville | ? | 3rd | 6th | −3 |
| 2026-08-10 | La Teste De Buch | 2 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Mont De Marsan | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2026-06-15 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | 3 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-05-23 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | 3 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength91%
Delivery trend -2.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 15/06/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 26/07/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 10/08/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 18/08/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 78% | -0.01 |