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1

Sarmad

2yo Colt · 8-13

Dax · Prix Des Trois Couronnes Stakes · 6f 211y

#6

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲3
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 2
Class gap: -2.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ La Teste De Buch 01/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 1231/07C5C5 @ Mont De Marsan 26/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 6f211y GS 12826/07C5C5 @ La Teste De Buch 26/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 12826/08C5projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-26La Teste De Buch?1st4th−3
2026-07-26Mont De Marsan?5th8th−3
2026-07-01La Teste De Buch?3rd6th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0726/0726/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength36%

Delivery trend -13.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/07/20263rd14/126%85%+0.58
26/07/20265th11/893%50%-0.43
26/08/20261st6/168%100%+0.32