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4

Someone

2yo Colt · 8-13

Dax · Prix Des Trois Couronnes Stakes · 6f 211y

#5

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

3%

Place Prob

9%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Mont De Marsan 26/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 6f211y GS 12326/07C5C5 @ La Teste De Buch 05/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 7f209y Gd 1285/08C52 @ Toulouse 02/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 7f209y Gd 1252/092projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02Toulouse24th4th0
2026-08-05La Teste De Buch?1st4th−3
2026-07-26Mont De Marsan?7th10th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/075/082/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +32.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/07/20267th9/276%25%-0.51
05/08/20261st11/142%100%+0.58
02/09/20264th14/126%40%+0.14