7
Eimear
3yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 56
Delaware Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1150% of fieldRange 4-10 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength36%
Delivery trend -5.7% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 6th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 09/05/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 23/05/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 18/06/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 08/07/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 44% | -0.35 |
| 22/07/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 38% | +0.11 |
| 13/08/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |
| 22/08/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 05/09/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 75% | +0.07 |