6
Flee
3yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 66
Delaware Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength7%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 11100% of fieldRange 4-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength48%
Delivery trend -4.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/02/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 57% | -0.14 |
| 05/03/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 71% | +0.45 |
| 03/04/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |
| 29/05/2026 | 1st | 1/3 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 10/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 86% | -0.02 |
| 08/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/6 | 96% | 86% | -0.10 |
| 24/07/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 13/08/2026 | 2nd | 6/5 | 94% | 80% | -0.14 |
| 25/09/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 67% | -0.19 |