4
Izzy's Rock Star
3yo Filly · 8-5 · OR 53
Delaware Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m
#11
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Delaware Park | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 110% of fieldRange 8-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend +0.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/2026 | 6th | 9/4 | 88% | 29% | -0.60 |
| 11/03/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 83% | +0.25 |
| 28/05/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 24/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/11 | 95% | 71% | -0.24 |
| 22/07/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 63% | -0.09 |
| 08/08/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 22/08/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 28/08/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 29% | +0.02 |
| 12/09/2026 | 13th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |