9
Rua
3yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 60
Delaware Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m
#9
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Delaware Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-24 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1160% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength87%
Delivery trend +2.4% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 10/12/2025 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 17/01/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 55% | +0.18 |
| 24/04/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 16/05/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 03/06/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 24/06/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 29% | -0.32 |
| 08/07/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 15/08/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 80% | +0.43 |