1
Shes The Tall One
3yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 69
Delaware Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
95%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 2.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-09 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-04-19 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-04-09 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 5-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength24%
Delivery trend -14.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/04/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 90% | +0.24 |
| 19/04/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 57% | +0.10 |
| 09/08/2026 | 4th | 7/4 | 91% | 50% | -0.41 |
| 22/08/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 05/09/2026 | 3rd | 4/5 | 96% | 50% | -0.46 |