Ada May
4yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 65
Delaware Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m
#8
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-09-09 | Delaware Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-13 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2025-10-30 | Penn National | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-10-08 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-09-20 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/04/2025 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 83% | -0.08 |
| 12/07/2025 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 33% | -0.32 |
| 10/08/2025 | 2nd | 11/10 | 94% | 75% | -0.19 |
| 20/09/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 88% | -0.01 |
| 08/10/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 57% | +0.05 |
| 30/10/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 13/11/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 09/09/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 19/09/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |