2

C C Girl

4yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 74

Delaware Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m

#1

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

25%

Place Prob

33%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength23%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 15/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 78 · 1m39y 118 · below its mark15/03/2026 · OR 78 par15/03C8OR 78C6 @ Tampa Bay Downs 12/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 70 · 1m39y 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark12/04/2026 · OR 70 parC8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 19/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 65 · 1m Fm 124 · below its mark19/04/2026 · OR 65 par19/04C8OR 65C8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 02/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 70 · 6f110y Slo 123 · below its mark02/05/2026 · OR 70 parC8 @ Delaware Park 28/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 71 · 1m70y Gd 122 · beat its mark28/05/2026 · OR 71 par28/05C8OR 71C8 @ Delaware Park 11/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 72 · 1m70y 121 · beat its mark11/06/2026 · OR 72 parC7 @ Delaware Park 01/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 75 · 1m70y 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/07/2026 · OR 75 par1/07C7OR 75C8 @ Colonial Downs 13/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 73 · 1m Fas 123 · below its mark13/08/2026 · OR 73 parC8 @ Delaware Park 19/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 71 · 1m Fas 122 · below its mark19/09/2026 · OR 71 par19/09C8OR 71projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-19Delaware Park?5th5th0
2026-08-13Colonial Downs?6th6th0
2026-07-01Delaware Park?4th3rd+1
2026-06-11Delaware Park?1st1st0
2026-05-28Delaware Park?1st1st0
2026-05-02Tampa Bay Downs?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/032/051/0719/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength50%

Delivery trend -2.9% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/03/20262nd5/287%80%-0.07
12/04/20268th25/10%13%+0.13
19/04/20266th20/10%0%0.00
02/05/20263rd16/116%78%+0.62
28/05/20261st4/696%100%+0.04
11/06/20261st8/158%100%+0.42
01/07/20264th10/147%40%-0.07
13/08/20266th6/168%17%-0.52
19/09/20265th14/126%33%+0.07