5
Mabee Luckynwild
7yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 72
Delaware Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m
#7
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength2%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-21 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Delaware Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +7.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 24/04/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 40% | -0.42 |
| 27/05/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 04/06/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 40% | -0.48 |
| 13/06/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 18/07/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 01/08/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 21/08/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 23/09/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |