8

Recognize Me

6yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 75

Delaware Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m

#2

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

74%

Place Prob

58%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength41%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Delaware Park 28/09/2025 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 78 · 1m70y 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark28/09/2025 · OR 78 par28/09C7OR 78C7 @ Charles Town 17/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 77 · 7f Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark17/10/2025 · OR 77 parC5 @ Laurel Park 15/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 75 · 1m110y Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark15/11/2025 · OR 75 par15/11C5OR 75C7 @ Laurel Park 07/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 74 · 1m1f Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark07/12/2025 · OR 74 parC8 @ Delaware Park 11/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 74 · 1m 121 · below its mark11/06/2026 · OR 74 par11/06C8OR 74C8 @ Delaware Park 25/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 73 · 1m 121 · beat its mark25/06/2026 · OR 73 parC7 @ Delaware Park 14/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 73 · 1m 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark14/08/2026 · OR 73 par14/08C7OR 73C8 @ Delaware Park 27/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 76 · 1m 121 · below its mark27/08/2026 · OR 76 parC8 @ Delaware Park 16/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 72 · 1m Fas 124 · below its mark16/09/2026 · OR 72 par16/09C8OR 72projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-16Delaware Park?3rd3rd0
2026-08-27Delaware Park?7th7th0
2026-08-14Delaware Park?4th3rd+1
2026-06-25Delaware Park?1st1st0
2026-06-11Delaware Park?3rd3rd0
2025-12-07Laurel Park?6th5th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/097/1214/0816/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +5.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/09/20257th4/179%14%-0.65
17/10/20255th16/116%33%+0.18
15/11/20256th40/10%17%+0.17
07/12/20256th25/10%0%0.00
11/06/20263rd6/168%60%-0.08
25/06/20261st11/486%100%+0.14
14/08/20264th25/10%63%+0.63
27/08/20267th11/486%25%-0.61
16/09/20263rd16/116%71%+0.56