Stassi
6yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 69
Delaware Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 2 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 2.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | Penn National | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Penn National | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-06-04 | Penn National | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Penn National | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-07-19 | Penn National | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2025-07-05 | Penn National | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -4.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/11/2024 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 07/05/2025 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 25% | -0.38 |
| 19/05/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 33% | -0.25 |
| 05/07/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 19/07/2025 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 80% | -0.10 |
| 22/05/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 04/06/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 25/07/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 71% | -0.11 |
| 13/08/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 33% | -0.30 |