6
Dutchman's Map
3yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 77
Delaware Park · Race 3 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 70y
#7
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-08-06 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 6th | −3 |
| 2026-06-11 | Delaware Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-22 | Laurel Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +8.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10/2025 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 40% | -0.23 |
| 22/11/2025 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 27/05/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 20% | -0.27 |
| 11/06/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 25/06/2026 | 3rd | 1/1 | 95% | 67% | -0.28 |
| 06/08/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 11/09/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 78% | +0.51 |