Gaelicheartofgold
4yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 77
Delaware Park · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#7
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 4.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Monmouth Park | ? | 9th | 7th | +2 |
| 2026-06-27 | Monmouth Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Monmouth Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-03-07 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2025-11-30 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +7.8% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09/2025 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 05/10/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 30/11/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 07/03/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 60% | -0.14 |
| 27/03/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 25/05/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 27/06/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 18/07/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |