8
Greyzer
8yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 86
Delaware Park · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#1
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
90%
Place Prob
62%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Delaware Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-08 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength41%
Delivery trend +0.2% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |
| 19/12/2025 | 1st | 25/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 21/01/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 40% | -0.26 |
| 08/02/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 16/05/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 83% | +0.46 |
| 11/06/2026 | 8th | 6/1 | 68% | 13% | -0.56 |
| 22/07/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 86% | +0.49 |
| 22/08/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 63% | -0.01 |
| 12/09/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 43% | +0.17 |