My Last Mission
7yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 79
Delaware Park · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#3
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
11%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 4 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.3 /10 (raw 3.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-20 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2025-05-17 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2025-04-23 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2025-03-21 | Aqueduct | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2024-12-06 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2024-10-30 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | -2th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07/2024 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 15/09/2024 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 80% | -0.04 |
| 09/10/2024 | 2nd | 4/5 | 96% | 80% | -0.16 |
| 30/10/2024 | 1st | 4/11 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 06/12/2024 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 57% | -0.28 |
| 21/03/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 75% | +0.22 |
| 23/04/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 17/05/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 20/06/2025 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |