12
Styner
8yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 84
Delaware Park · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#2
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
14%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength24%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-05-30 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 3-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength42%
Delivery trend +0.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/03/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 80% | -0.04 |
| 17/04/2026 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 0% | -0.87 |
| 23/05/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 30/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 88% | +0.02 |
| 18/06/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 40% | -0.47 |
| 10/07/2026 | 5th | 13/8 | 91% | 43% | -0.49 |
| 06/08/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 63% | -0.01 |
| 22/08/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 38% | -0.44 |
| 18/09/2026 | 3rd | 4/5 | 96% | 75% | -0.21 |