Waldrip
5yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 83
Delaware Park · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#5
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-21 | Penn National | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Penn National | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-05-03 | Laurel Park | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-04-19 | Laurel Park | ? | 12th | 9th | +3 |
| 2026-03-28 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +4.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/12/2025 | 1st | 4/11 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 16/01/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 86% | +0.04 |
| 19/03/2026 | 2nd | 6/5 | 94% | 83% | -0.10 |
| 28/03/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 83% | -0.05 |
| 19/04/2026 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 03/05/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 06/08/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 21/08/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 12/09/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |