7
Winooski
6yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 77
Delaware Park · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#12
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Delaware Park | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-27 | Delaware Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Delaware Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Delaware Park | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 5-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength8%
Delivery trend +5.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 12th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 80% | +0.09 |
| 18/04/2026 | 10th | 5/1 | 74% | 10% | -0.64 |
| 02/05/2026 | 8th | 6/4 | 92% | 0% | -0.92 |
| 16/05/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 28/05/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 11/06/2026 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 13% | -0.48 |
| 25/06/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 27/08/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 18/09/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |