Coach Michael

3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 74

Delaware Park · Race 5 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 70y

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

99%

Place Prob

82%

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL

▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark

Move▼1

Strength10%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C7.7

Today:

Class gap: +0.8

Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-18	Delaware Park	?	3rd	3rd	0	7.0
2026-08-27	Penn National	?	3rd	3rd	0	7.0
2026-08-14	Penn National	?	3rd	0th	+3	5.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish1st of 18100% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%

▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only

Trend▲

Strength100%

Delivery trend +18.9% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 18. Recent form is on the up.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
14/08/2026	3rd	7/1	63%	60%	-0.03
27/08/2026	3rd	4/1	79%	60%	-0.19
18/09/2026	3rd	12/1	37%	71%	+0.35