14

Oath And Honour

3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 56

Delaware Park · Race 5 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 70y

#10

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼3
Strength78%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: +2.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Penn National 03/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 4 · OR - · 1m Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS3/04C6C6 @ Laurel Park 18/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 31 · 5f110y Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/04/2026 · OR 31 par18/04C6OR 31C6 @ Delaware Park 23/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 45 · 6f Slo 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/09/2026 · OR 45 par23/09C6OR 45projClass-projected finish: 1st of 15
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-23Delaware Park?5th2nd+3
2026-04-18Laurel Park?6th3rd+3
2026-04-03Penn National?4th1st+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0418/0423/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1882% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +48.2% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 18. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/04/20264th9/276%0%-0.76
18/04/20266th33/10%29%+0.29
23/09/20265th25/10%20%+0.20