Sartorial
3yo Colt · 8-8 · OR 85
Delaware Park · Race 5 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 70y
#6
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 5.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Churchill Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Churchill Downs | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-03-01 | Gulfstream | ? | 9th | 6th | +3 |
| 2026-01-10 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2025-11-20 | Churchill Downs | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2025-09-28 | Churchill Downs | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -16.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 18. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09/2025 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 20/11/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 70% | +0.33 |
| 10/01/2026 | 7th | 3/1 | 84% | 25% | -0.59 |
| 01/03/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 26/04/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 43% | +0.27 |
| 17/05/2026 | 4th | 6/5 | 94% | 40% | -0.54 |