7
Seawise
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 80
Delaware Park · Race 5 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 70y
#5
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength11%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Delaware Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-21 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-13 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2025-12-28 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-25 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-11 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1876% of fieldRange 1-18 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength42%
Delivery trend -3.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 18. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 89% | +0.05 |
| 11/10/2025 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 25/10/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 90% | +0.53 |
| 28/12/2025 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 71% | -0.17 |
| 13/02/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 21/03/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 80% | +0.17 |
| 18/09/2026 | 7th | 11/8 | 93% | 14% | -0.78 |