4

Tailored For Joy

4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 80

Delaware Park · Race 6 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f

#5

Rank

Odds

2/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength23%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Delaware Park 13/09/2024 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 5f110y Fas 117 · HIGHER CLASS13/09C6C6 @ Keeneland 10/10/2024 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 66 · 6f Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark10/10/2024 · OR 66 parC7 @ Delaware Park 11/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 68 · 5f110y 119 · beat its mark11/07/2025 · OR 68 par11/07C7OR 68C6 @ Delaware Park 26/07/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 73 · 7f110y Fm 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark26/07/2025 · OR 73 parC6 @ Delaware Park 27/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 79 · 7f110y Fm 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark27/08/2025 · OR 79 par27/08C6OR 79C7 @ Delaware Park 13/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 83 · 1m 120 · below its mark13/09/2025 · OR 83 parC9 @ Delaware Park 11/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 84 · 7f110y Fm 120 · beat its mark11/10/2025 · OR 84 par11/10C9OR 84C8 @ Delaware Park 13/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 78 · 1m70y Gd 124 · below its mark13/08/2026 · OR 78 par13/08C8OR 78projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-13Delaware Park?6th7th−1
2025-10-11Delaware Park?1st3rd−2
2025-09-13Delaware Park?3rd3rd0
2025-08-27Delaware Park?5th4th+1
2025-07-26Delaware Park?4th3rd+1
2025-07-11Delaware Park?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/0926/0711/1013/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength54%

Delivery trend -7.5% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/09/20243rd10/382%71%-0.11
10/10/20248th40/10%30%+0.30
11/07/20252nd4/179%80%+0.01
26/07/20254th25/10%63%+0.63
27/08/20255th7/282%50%-0.32
13/09/20253rd5/174%67%-0.07
11/10/20251st2/189%100%+0.11
13/08/20266th5/287%17%-0.70