Congrats On Fifty
6yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 80
Delaware Park · Race 7 - Claiming · 5f
#5
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 5 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 4.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-08-08 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-07-23 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2025-10-30 | Hawthorne | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2025-10-19 | Hawthorne | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2025-09-18 | Hawthorne | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/06/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 80% | -0.07 |
| 10/07/2025 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 21/08/2025 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 18/09/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 19/10/2025 | 4th | 15/8 | 90% | 0% | -0.90 |
| 30/10/2025 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 29% | -0.48 |
| 23/07/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 08/08/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 05/09/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |