Discreet Devil
6yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 75
Delaware Park · Race 7 - Claiming · 5f
#3
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 4.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Meadowlands | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-09-05 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-08-28 | Charles Town | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-06-27 | Monmouth Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +6.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/05/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 21/05/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 30/05/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 17/06/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 27/06/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |
| 08/08/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 28/08/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 60% | +0.34 |
| 05/09/2026 | 6th | 100/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 25/09/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |