Elon
6yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 82
Delaware Park · Race 7 - Claiming · 5f
#4
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 4.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Laurel Park | ? | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-07-01 | Penn National | ? | 1st | -2th | +3 |
| 2026-06-07 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-15 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-10-19 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.3% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 01/09/2025 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 57% | -0.01 |
| 21/09/2025 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |
| 19/10/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 38% | +0.22 |
| 15/11/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 10/05/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 33% | -0.35 |
| 07/06/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 01/07/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 13/09/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |