10

Kiss Them Deadly

7yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 86

Delaware Park · Race 7 - Claiming · 5f

#9

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength45%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 4.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.2
Today:
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Penn National 08/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 88 · 6f Fas 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark08/08/2025 · OR 88 par8/08C7OR 88C5 @ Penn National 05/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 87 · 6f 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark05/09/2025 · OR 87 parC7 @ Penn National 10/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 87 · 5f Fm 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark10/09/2025 · OR 87 par10/09C7OR 87C5 @ Penn National 25/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 3 · OR 82 · 5f 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/09/2025 · OR 82 parC6 @ Penn National 29/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 86 · 6f Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark29/10/2025 · OR 86 par29/10C6OR 86C7 @ Laurel Park 29/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 86 · 6f 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark29/11/2025 · OR 86 parC8 @ Laurel Park 06/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 86 · 5f110y Fm 119 · below its mark06/06/2026 · OR 86 par6/06C8OR 86C7 @ Delaware Park 08/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 85 · 5f Yie 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark08/07/2026 · OR 85 parC0 @ Penn National 30/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR - · 6f 12330/07C?projClass-projected finish: 12th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-30Penn National?5th5th0
2026-07-08Delaware Park?8th7th+1
2026-06-06Laurel Park?2nd2nd0
2025-11-29Laurel Park?7th6th+1
2025-10-29Penn National?6th4th+2
2025-09-25Penn National?1st-2th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0825/096/0630/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 3-12 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength21%

Delivery trend +0.4% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 11th of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/08/20255th2/189%20%-0.69
05/09/20254th12/137%50%+0.13
10/09/20251st10/382%100%+0.18
25/09/20251st10/382%100%+0.18
29/10/20256th25/10%0%0.00
29/11/20257th20/10%14%+0.14
06/06/20262nd14/126%86%+0.59
08/07/20268th20/10%13%+0.13
30/07/20265th10/382%0%-0.82