Mister Woodford
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 71
Delaware Park · Race 7 - Claiming · 5f
#12
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 5.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Penn National | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-08-14 | Penn National | ? | 6th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-06-17 | Penn National | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-05-28 | Penn National | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-05-07 | Penn National | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-03-20 | Penn National | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/01/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 60% | +0.44 |
| 13/02/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 86% | -0.04 |
| 14/03/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 20/03/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 25% | -0.28 |
| 07/05/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 28/05/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 17/06/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 14/08/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 04/09/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 43% | -0.05 |